EFOR Annual Report 2024

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EFOR Annual Report 2024

The Next 10 Years
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EFOR
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RAF & EFOR
Résumé

2024 is the year when we redefine the European Union and the Romania we want to live in. The upcoming elections across the EU, along with our ability to hold politicians accountable, will significantly influence the policies and institutions that will shape the continent's development until 2035 and beyond, to 2050. We face numerous challenges including climate change, demographic decline, migration, the global race for technological dominance, geopolitical tensions leading to worldwide conflicts, and the growing realization of hostility from other superpowers towards our liberal democratic values. To navigate these uncertainties and succeed, the entire European project must undergo a transformation. Three decades ago, Romania was fortunate to come under the gravitational influence of the European Union, resulting in a more prosperous, peaceful, and free life for Romanians than any previous generation had experienced. Now, we face the question: Will future generations be able to say the same about us? The answer hinges on the decisions we make today. This report is intended to spark a serious discussion about the changes and challenges Romania will face over the next decade, including urgent risks that require immediate action. It presents difficult policy dilemmas, acknowledging that while no one can predict the future, certain trends are clear. Economic convergence with the EU can no longer be assumed as a given. Significant demographic changes, from aging populations to migration, may impact Romania more severely than other European nations. Inequality and educational outcomes are critical factors that could either propel Romania toward technological competitiveness or hinder its progress. Moreover, Romania’s energy transition could either foster sustainable economic growth or lead to economic stagnation. Lastly, Romania must assume a more significant role in shaping the future of Europe. We have a direct interest in promoting an expanded, ambitious European project that upholds the core values of freedom, democracy, and the rule of law. But achieving this is not possible unless we reverse the current trend where rent-seeking groups exploit public resources or legislate niches that disproportionately benefit themselves. Additionally, we must address the issue of contraselection in politics and government sectors.

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